Latest poll shows Clinton with slight edge over Trump in Florida

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HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY, Fla. (WFLA) – The latest poll in the race for president shows Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton with a slight edge over Republican nominee Donald Trump, following Monday’s debate at Hofstra University in New York.

The poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon from September 27 through September 29, 2016 and included a total of 820 registered Florida voters. They were interviewed statewide by telephone. All indicated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Here’s how the numbers shake out:

Following the first debate of the presidential general election campaign, Democrat Hillary Clinton has a 46 to 42% lead over Donald Trump in Florida. Libertarian Gary Johnson is supported by 7%, Green Party candidate Jill Stein is backed by only 1% and 4% remain undecided.

The race in Florida continues to predictably split among the various demographic sub-groups. Clinton leads among Democrats (83%-10%), women (54%-36%), blacks (92%-1%), Hispanics (64%-29%) and in Southeast Florida (58%-29%)..

Trump is ahead with Republicans (77-13%), unaffiliated voters (41%-33%), men (49%-37%) and non-Hispanic whites (53%-33%). Trump still has very strong support

in North Florida (53%-37%) and Southwest Florida (51%-36%).

In the generally decisive I-4 corridor, Clinton currently has a slight advantage. She now has a 47%-40% in the swing Tampa Bay area, while Trump only leads 46%-43% in more Republican leaning Central Florida.

Despite small shifts that have given Clinton a post-debate bump, the race is still very competitive and the outcome will hinge on where and among whom voter turnout is higher.

The poll has a 3.5% margin of error. provides commenting to allow for constructive discussion on the stories we cover. In order to comment here, you acknowledge you have read and agreed to our Terms of Service. Commenters who violate these terms, including use of vulgar language or racial slurs, will be banned. Please be respectful of the opinions of others and keep the conversation on topic and civil. If you see an inappropriate comment, please flag it for our moderators to review.

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