There is now a 70 percent a chance that this disturbance (referred to as Invest 97L by the NHC) will develop into a tropical depression or storm over the next 5 days.
This cluster of showers and storms likely won’t organize much over the next couple of days as it encounters some upper-level wind shear in the eastern Caribbean Sea.
Conditions will be much more favorable for tropical development once this tropical low reaches the western Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico by the middle and latter portions of the work week.
“Regardless of development, heavy rain and gusty winds can be expected across parts of the Caribbean over the next several days.”
According to Storm Team 8’s Ian Oliver, the storm will likely have little if any impact on Tampa Bay area.
“The consensus among forecast models for the track of Invest 97L is several hundred miles south of Tampa Bay towards the Yucatan Peninsula and southern Gulf. It’s of course something to watch evolve over the next 3-5 days just in case but at this point it’s of little concern for folks in our area.”
Interactive Tropical Tracker